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	<title>Comments on: Pr( a priori ) = ?</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Mar 2010 05:20:07 +0000</pubDate>
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  &lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;- Hide quoted text -- Show quoted text -&lt;/p&gt;Paul Healey wrote: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;p&gt;&gt; It appears, that when this notion of measure is used, the object has no &lt;br /&gt; &gt; identity --- bias as in the case of coin flipping, dice throwing, ... &lt;br /&gt; &gt; etc., does not belong to the object (=the schema) that is considered to &lt;br /&gt; &gt; be an abstract event. Both the frequency and equally-likely approach are &lt;br /&gt; &gt; just two extremes, that both suffer absorption when it comes to &lt;br /&gt; &gt; developing a winning strategy. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&gt; If this is so, why should it be so dogmatically embraced as if the &lt;br /&gt; &gt; foundations of science depended on it ? &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&gt; Perhaps the a priori, is really about something much deeper then our &lt;br /&gt; &gt; culture is willing to take on ?: &#039; ... truth is not a minted coin that &lt;br /&gt; &gt; can be given and pocketed ready-made. &#039; Hegel&#039;s Phenomenology of Spirit &lt;br /&gt; &gt; -- &lt;br /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&#039;Logic&#039; by itself, is not a sufficient basis for describing physical &lt;br /&gt; reality, and neither is it a sufficient basis for usurping the &lt;br /&gt; Behaviourist position on the Cartesian mind-body problem. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#039;Logic&#039; as it is classically taught, is as &quot;dead&quot; as classical physics. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Quantum physicists, making the statement that classical logic is &lt;br /&gt; insufficient for describing quantum effects, imply that: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160;&quot;The physical universe is fundamentally, not classically logical&quot;. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;For many, this is as disturbing a statement as saying: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160;&quot;The universe is fundamentally uncertain.&quot; &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;and will no doubt lead to a great debate such as that between Einstein &lt;br /&gt; and Bohr, except the new debate will be on the more general topic of: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &quot;How the macroscopic universe appears to be subjectively classically &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160;logical, and yet its microscopic foundations are physically &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160;quantum logical.&quot; &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This is just the mind-body problem honed to a finer resolution. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In the same sense that classical physics was not _replaced_ but superceded &lt;br /&gt; by a more modern physical paradigm, the Behaviourist position need not be &lt;br /&gt; replaced, but instead superceded by a more general theory: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Both quantum and relativity theories have amused us for some time with &lt;br /&gt; their &quot;wow&quot; implications in the macroscopic world: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; Schrodinger&#039;s Cat, Twin Paradox,... &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;to name only two. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;But the debate between proponents of classical logic and quantum logic, &lt;br /&gt; will necessarily require a better understanding of the nature of debates &lt;br /&gt; themselves, because debates are classically fought on the basis of &lt;br /&gt; classical logic and now we have a debate which declares that classical logic &lt;br /&gt; itself is in some way not sufficient or complete. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This debate actually began much earlier in human history, but its most &lt;br /&gt; recent grandiose display is the failure of Alfred North Whitehead and &lt;br /&gt; Bertrand Russell to find a strictly &#039;classical logical&#039; basis for &lt;br /&gt; mathematics. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This lead eventually to Goedel&#039;s &quot;uncertainty theory&quot; which essentially &lt;br /&gt; says that closed axiomatic systems, such as logic, are not complete, &lt;br /&gt; but they are extendable in the same sense that classical physics was &lt;br /&gt; extended by modern quantum physics and relativity theory. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;OK, so what is the extension to classical logic that forms the basis &lt;br /&gt; of this new quantum logic ? &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;It is &quot;analogic&quot;. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We can say that analogic is a shell around classical logic: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160;{analogy {logy} } &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;just as classical physics is the macroscopic subset of the &lt;br /&gt; microscopic quantum physics: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160;{quantum physics {classical physics}} &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;but really we should say: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160;{quantum physics and relativity theory {classical physics}} &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This way of organizing the paradigms as &quot;set elements&quot; is alittle &lt;br /&gt; misleading though, and fuzzy theory can help to explain why. Essentially &lt;br /&gt; it is misleading because the notion of a classical &quot;set&quot; notions derived &lt;br /&gt; from &quot;classical logic&quot; and the new quantum logic requires the new notion &lt;br /&gt; of set superpositions[1]. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This inevitably leads one into a treacherous discussion regarding vector &lt;br /&gt; theory and resultants as classically logical, and so they too must be &lt;br /&gt; revamped to incorporate the new quantum logic. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;It shouldn&#039;t be surprising therefore, that vector theory has its paradoxes: &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160;&quot;What happens when an immovable object meets an irresistable force.&quot; &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;is a classic example, but there are others; for instance, what happens &lt;br /&gt; when +2 volts meets -2 volts, &#160;or when +2 billion volts meets -2 billion &lt;br /&gt; volts ? &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Their resultants are both zero, and yet these are dangerously different &lt;br /&gt; zeros. This eventually leads to the idea of a vacuum, and the zero point &lt;br /&gt; energy and physicists have a hard time comming up with the idea that a &lt;br /&gt; vacuum is an empty set, but instead use an &#039;ad hoc&#039; model of abstract &lt;br /&gt; probability waves in the vacuum to explain why it seems both empty and &lt;br /&gt; not empty at the same time (like a Klein bottle, or zen&#039;s version of &#039;nothing&#039;). &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Since vector theory is a large part of relativity theory, you may have the &lt;br /&gt; suspicion that the new logic can unravel the spatio-temporal paradoxes &lt;br /&gt; of relativity theory as well; and you&#039;d be right. When treated as complementary &lt;br /&gt; variables, space and time reveal relativity theory&#039;s inherent &quot;uncertainty &lt;br /&gt; principle&quot;. That &quot;space&quot; and &quot;time&quot; are complementary is quite apparent &lt;br /&gt; to computer scientists and mathematicians studying formal language theory, &lt;br /&gt; but as well it is known to holographers who do &quot;spatial filtering&quot; and &lt;br /&gt; a more dynamic kind of filtering called &quot;phase filtering&quot; which involves &lt;br /&gt; time, so we can refer to it as temporal filtering [2] &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The Behaviorist stance is very much comparable to the idea that a hologram &lt;br /&gt; is only the sum of the parts. That is, the holographic projection is only &lt;br /&gt; the physical arrangement of many silver molecules. But without an observer, &lt;br /&gt; is the holographic effect there ? &#160; &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;More to the point, an optical illusion[4] is a highly subjective &lt;br /&gt; experience; what one perceives is dependant on their state of mind &lt;br /&gt; as much as the physical arrangement of the optical illusion itself. &lt;br /&gt; Such effects skirt the mind-body divide and make their analysis &lt;br /&gt; in strictly physical terms impossible, elements of psychology &lt;br /&gt; and physiology are also necessarily brought into these &quot;experiments&quot;. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Yet the optical illusion as a drawing on a piece of paper is &lt;br /&gt; a physical &quot;device&quot; made from matter and communicating with its &lt;br /&gt; observer through light[3] and so forms a valid physical experiment. &lt;br /&gt; What quantum physics is finding out is that the physical world &lt;br /&gt; reflects itself in the mind of the observer. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The observer effects the experiment, the experiment affects the &lt;br /&gt; observer. This is a communications between the physical world &lt;br /&gt; and the mental world and the trick is to negotiate a language; &lt;br /&gt; like two different brands of modems trying to decide how to talk &lt;br /&gt; to each other. But everthing is not mearly mechanical as &lt;br /&gt; Behaviourists may announce, rather the mechanical and the &lt;br /&gt; more dynamic subjective effects are integrally arranged. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;An optical illusion is a physical arrangement; it is a sculpture of &lt;br /&gt; patterns which is perceived by an observer to have a two or more &lt;br /&gt; characteristics. The human characteristics which make us all &lt;br /&gt; individuals are derived in the same way, but they are much too &lt;br /&gt; complex and dynamic to be classified as deterministic and logical &lt;br /&gt; as the Behaviourist position implies. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We are all essentially works of art built from matter, but it is &lt;br /&gt; our perceptions on the local dynamic effects, which cannot be &lt;br /&gt; simulated by any classically logical computer. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Like the individual silver atom in a hologram, as lonely individuals &lt;br /&gt; we become more and more mechanical and predictable. But our social &lt;br /&gt; arrangement provides us with the opportunity to reflect ideas and &lt;br /&gt; actions off of each other to produce that holographic image of humanity. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In so doing we become more important than mear particles of society, &lt;br /&gt; we affect it, and it affects us. Our decisions become our individual &lt;br /&gt; character and our affect on the character of the whole. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This is where individuals become like self-moving silver atoms in a hologram. &lt;br /&gt; Many people don&#039;t &quot;move&quot; very much during their lives, they choose &lt;br /&gt; a particle place to live and a character to seat themselves in &lt;br /&gt; depending on their interaction with society. In much the same sense, &lt;br /&gt; a dynamic hologram (not the static kind you usually see) would evolve &lt;br /&gt; as time went on. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The holographic effect though is very dependant upon the organization &lt;br /&gt; of the whole. If the organization of a society is chaotic, &lt;br /&gt; the holographic image disappears along with its &quot;virtual world&quot; &lt;br /&gt; in a puff of smoke and mirrors. &#160;Society brakes down and reduces to the &lt;br /&gt; Behaviourists model of dog-eat-dog: &#160; &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160;Just a bunch of silver atoms that don&#039;t care too much about each other. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;A photograph, not a hologram. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The economic market is also such a dynamic &quot;holographic&quot; phenomena in &lt;br /&gt; the sense that it too will collapse if the underlying substrate is too &lt;br /&gt; chaotic. We speak of the inflated bubble bursting in this sense. &lt;br /&gt; Keynesian the reboot is applied. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The more modern dynamic view of Hayek et al tends to think more in terms &lt;br /&gt; of hot-swapping and dynamic regulation to keep the hologram of the market &lt;br /&gt; constantly inflated. It&#039;s alot like riding a bicycle, sometimes you need &lt;br /&gt; to put a kick-stand down and take a rest from the balancing act, &lt;br /&gt; one needn&#039;t crash when tired of the constant riding. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[1] Bart Kosko&#039;s &quot;fuzzy subsethood&quot;, in his books &quot;Fuzzy Thinking&quot; and &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160; &quot;Fuzzy Engineering&quot; &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[2] it gets complicated here, so I won&#039;t elaborate further on this having &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160; little space and time at the moment; the margin is just too small. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[3] there are also auditory and other &quot;illusions&quot; leading to the ideas &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160; of synesthesia as a forms of &quot;quantum&quot; superposition of sensory channels. &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160; Here &quot;quantum&quot; refers not to purely &#160;physical effect, but one which &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160; skirts the mind and body &#160;divide or skirts the analogic and logic divide, &lt;br /&gt; &#160; &#160; or the subject and object divide more generally. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[4] http://members.aol.com/Ryanbut/profileblk.gif &lt;br /&gt;
  
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<p>- Hide quoted text &#8212; Show quoted text -</p>
<p>Paul Healey wrote: <br /> 
<p>&gt; It appears, that when this notion of measure is used, the object has no <br /> &gt; identity &#8212; bias as in the case of coin flipping, dice throwing, &#8230; <br /> &gt; etc., does not belong to the object (=the schema) that is considered to <br /> &gt; be an abstract event. Both the frequency and equally-likely approach are <br /> &gt; just two extremes, that both suffer absorption when it comes to <br /> &gt; developing a winning strategy.  </p>
<p>&gt; If this is so, why should it be so dogmatically embraced as if the <br /> &gt; foundations of science depended on it ?  </p>
<p>&gt; Perhaps the a priori, is really about something much deeper then our <br /> &gt; culture is willing to take on ?: &#8216; &#8230; truth is not a minted coin that <br /> &gt; can be given and pocketed ready-made. &#8216; Hegel&#8217;s Phenomenology of Spirit <br /> &gt; &#8212; </p>
<p>&#8216;Logic&#8217; by itself, is not a sufficient basis for describing physical <br /> reality, and neither is it a sufficient basis for usurping the <br /> Behaviourist position on the Cartesian mind-body problem.  </p>
<p>&#8216;Logic&#8217; as it is classically taught, is as &quot;dead&quot; as classical physics.  </p>
<p>Quantum physicists, making the statement that classical logic is <br /> insufficient for describing quantum effects, imply that:  </p>
<p>&nbsp;&quot;The physical universe is fundamentally, not classically logical&quot;.  </p>
<p>For many, this is as disturbing a statement as saying:  </p>
<p>&nbsp;&quot;The universe is fundamentally uncertain.&quot;  </p>
<p>and will no doubt lead to a great debate such as that between Einstein <br /> and Bohr, except the new debate will be on the more general topic of:  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &quot;How the macroscopic universe appears to be subjectively classically <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp;logical, and yet its microscopic foundations are physically <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp;quantum logical.&quot;  </p>
<p>This is just the mind-body problem honed to a finer resolution.  </p>
<p>In the same sense that classical physics was not _replaced_ but superceded <br /> by a more modern physical paradigm, the Behaviourist position need not be <br /> replaced, but instead superceded by a more general theory:  </p>
<p>Both quantum and relativity theories have amused us for some time with <br /> their &quot;wow&quot; implications in the macroscopic world:  </p>
<p>&nbsp; Schrodinger&#8217;s Cat, Twin Paradox,&#8230;  </p>
<p>to name only two.  </p>
<p>But the debate between proponents of classical logic and quantum logic, <br /> will necessarily require a better understanding of the nature of debates <br /> themselves, because debates are classically fought on the basis of <br /> classical logic and now we have a debate which declares that classical logic <br /> itself is in some way not sufficient or complete.  </p>
<p>This debate actually began much earlier in human history, but its most <br /> recent grandiose display is the failure of Alfred North Whitehead and <br /> Bertrand Russell to find a strictly &#8216;classical logical&#8217; basis for <br /> mathematics.  </p>
<p>This lead eventually to Goedel&#8217;s &quot;uncertainty theory&quot; which essentially <br /> says that closed axiomatic systems, such as logic, are not complete, <br /> but they are extendable in the same sense that classical physics was <br /> extended by modern quantum physics and relativity theory.  </p>
<p>OK, so what is the extension to classical logic that forms the basis <br /> of this new quantum logic ?  </p>
<p>It is &quot;analogic&quot;.  </p>
<p>We can say that analogic is a shell around classical logic:  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;{analogy {logy} }  </p>
<p>just as classical physics is the macroscopic subset of the <br /> microscopic quantum physics:  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;{quantum physics {classical physics}}  </p>
<p>but really we should say:  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;{quantum physics and relativity theory {classical physics}}  </p>
<p>This way of organizing the paradigms as &quot;set elements&quot; is alittle <br /> misleading though, and fuzzy theory can help to explain why. Essentially <br /> it is misleading because the notion of a classical &quot;set&quot; notions derived <br /> from &quot;classical logic&quot; and the new quantum logic requires the new notion <br /> of set superpositions[1].  </p>
<p>This inevitably leads one into a treacherous discussion regarding vector <br /> theory and resultants as classically logical, and so they too must be <br /> revamped to incorporate the new quantum logic.  </p>
<p>It shouldn&#8217;t be surprising therefore, that vector theory has its paradoxes:  </p>
<p>&nbsp;&quot;What happens when an immovable object meets an irresistable force.&quot;  </p>
<p>is a classic example, but there are others; for instance, what happens <br /> when +2 volts meets -2 volts, &nbsp;or when +2 billion volts meets -2 billion <br /> volts ?  </p>
<p>Their resultants are both zero, and yet these are dangerously different <br /> zeros. This eventually leads to the idea of a vacuum, and the zero point <br /> energy and physicists have a hard time comming up with the idea that a <br /> vacuum is an empty set, but instead use an &#8216;ad hoc&#8217; model of abstract <br /> probability waves in the vacuum to explain why it seems both empty and <br /> not empty at the same time (like a Klein bottle, or zen&#8217;s version of &#8216;nothing&#8217;).  </p>
<p>Since vector theory is a large part of relativity theory, you may have the <br /> suspicion that the new logic can unravel the spatio-temporal paradoxes <br /> of relativity theory as well; and you&#8217;d be right. When treated as complementary <br /> variables, space and time reveal relativity theory&#8217;s inherent &quot;uncertainty <br /> principle&quot;. That &quot;space&quot; and &quot;time&quot; are complementary is quite apparent <br /> to computer scientists and mathematicians studying formal language theory, <br /> but as well it is known to holographers who do &quot;spatial filtering&quot; and <br /> a more dynamic kind of filtering called &quot;phase filtering&quot; which involves <br /> time, so we can refer to it as temporal filtering [2]  </p>
<p>The Behaviorist stance is very much comparable to the idea that a hologram <br /> is only the sum of the parts. That is, the holographic projection is only <br /> the physical arrangement of many silver molecules. But without an observer, <br /> is the holographic effect there ? &nbsp;  </p>
<p>More to the point, an optical illusion[4] is a highly subjective <br /> experience; what one perceives is dependant on their state of mind <br /> as much as the physical arrangement of the optical illusion itself. <br /> Such effects skirt the mind-body divide and make their analysis <br /> in strictly physical terms impossible, elements of psychology <br /> and physiology are also necessarily brought into these &quot;experiments&quot;.  </p>
<p>Yet the optical illusion as a drawing on a piece of paper is <br /> a physical &quot;device&quot; made from matter and communicating with its <br /> observer through light[3] and so forms a valid physical experiment. <br /> What quantum physics is finding out is that the physical world <br /> reflects itself in the mind of the observer.  </p>
<p>The observer effects the experiment, the experiment affects the <br /> observer. This is a communications between the physical world <br /> and the mental world and the trick is to negotiate a language; <br /> like two different brands of modems trying to decide how to talk <br /> to each other. But everthing is not mearly mechanical as <br /> Behaviourists may announce, rather the mechanical and the <br /> more dynamic subjective effects are integrally arranged.  </p>
<p>An optical illusion is a physical arrangement; it is a sculpture of <br /> patterns which is perceived by an observer to have a two or more <br /> characteristics. The human characteristics which make us all <br /> individuals are derived in the same way, but they are much too <br /> complex and dynamic to be classified as deterministic and logical <br /> as the Behaviourist position implies.  </p>
<p>We are all essentially works of art built from matter, but it is <br /> our perceptions on the local dynamic effects, which cannot be <br /> simulated by any classically logical computer.  </p>
<p>Like the individual silver atom in a hologram, as lonely individuals <br /> we become more and more mechanical and predictable. But our social <br /> arrangement provides us with the opportunity to reflect ideas and <br /> actions off of each other to produce that holographic image of humanity.  </p>
<p>In so doing we become more important than mear particles of society, <br /> we affect it, and it affects us. Our decisions become our individual <br /> character and our affect on the character of the whole.  </p>
<p>This is where individuals become like self-moving silver atoms in a hologram. <br /> Many people don&#8217;t &quot;move&quot; very much during their lives, they choose <br /> a particle place to live and a character to seat themselves in <br /> depending on their interaction with society. In much the same sense, <br /> a dynamic hologram (not the static kind you usually see) would evolve <br /> as time went on.  </p>
<p>The holographic effect though is very dependant upon the organization <br /> of the whole. If the organization of a society is chaotic, <br /> the holographic image disappears along with its &quot;virtual world&quot; <br /> in a puff of smoke and mirrors. &nbsp;Society brakes down and reduces to the <br /> Behaviourists model of dog-eat-dog: &nbsp;  </p>
<p>&nbsp;Just a bunch of silver atoms that don&#8217;t care too much about each other.  </p>
<p>A photograph, not a hologram.  </p>
<p>The economic market is also such a dynamic &quot;holographic&quot; phenomena in <br /> the sense that it too will collapse if the underlying substrate is too <br /> chaotic. We speak of the inflated bubble bursting in this sense. <br /> Keynesian the reboot is applied.  </p>
<p>The more modern dynamic view of Hayek et al tends to think more in terms <br /> of hot-swapping and dynamic regulation to keep the hologram of the market <br /> constantly inflated. It&#8217;s alot like riding a bicycle, sometimes you need <br /> to put a kick-stand down and take a rest from the balancing act, <br /> one needn&#8217;t crash when tired of the constant riding.  </p>
<p>[1] Bart Kosko&#8217;s &quot;fuzzy subsethood&quot;, in his books &quot;Fuzzy Thinking&quot; and <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp; &quot;Fuzzy Engineering&quot;  </p>
<p>[2] it gets complicated here, so I won&#8217;t elaborate further on this having <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp; little space and time at the moment; the margin is just too small.  </p>
<p>[3] there are also auditory and other &quot;illusions&quot; leading to the ideas <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp; of synesthesia as a forms of &quot;quantum&quot; superposition of sensory channels. <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp; Here &quot;quantum&quot; refers not to purely &nbsp;physical effect, but one which <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp; skirts the mind and body &nbsp;divide or skirts the analogic and logic divide, <br /> &nbsp; &nbsp; or the subject and object divide more generally.  </p>
<p>[4] <a href="http://members.aol.com/Ryanbut/profileblk.gif" rel="nofollow">http://members.aol.com/Ryanbut/profileblk.gif</a> </p>
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		<title>By: admin</title>
		<link>http://www.aboutlogic.info/pr-a-priori/comment-page-1#comment-5897</link>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Mar 2010 05:20:06 +0000</pubDate>
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  &#160; &#160; &#160;Probability theory certainly has its ups and downs! &lt;br /&gt; &lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160; &#160;A Priori gaming seems a bit dull, because after all it is so simple &lt;br /&gt; and controlled. &#160;Black Jack, Roulette, and Video Poker all seem so &lt;br /&gt; straight forward. &#160;Yet try to win with mathematical theory. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160; &#160;The culprit is dispersion. &#160;Dispersion is enormous in such &lt;br /&gt; endeavours. &#160;At 47% (the approximate roulette odds) it is possible to &lt;br /&gt; take 15 straight losses. &#160;Perhaps more if Lady Luck really has a &lt;br /&gt; vendetta. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160; &#160;I keep thinking of the fact that all physical objects are &lt;br /&gt; describable in mathematics, that they are determined in a strict causal &lt;br /&gt; sequence, despite the complexity. &#160;(Perhaps atoms do sometimes swerve on &lt;br /&gt; their own!) &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160; &#160;Now the Casinos have all the games set for making a percentage &lt;br /&gt; profit. &#160;This is why you have 0 and 00 on the roulette wheel. &#160;Watch out &lt;br /&gt; for the Dealer shuffling everytime he starts losing at Black Jack. &#160;This &lt;br /&gt; keeps the odds even or in his favor (overall in his favor). &#160;And, Video &lt;br /&gt; Poker never quite pays out what it takes in. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160; &#160;What to do with this A Priori mess! &#160;Give up and lose those &lt;br /&gt; magnificent riches that appear spontaneously in your mind when you think &lt;br /&gt; of Winning. &#160;Of course not. &#160;Back to the grindstone. &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160; &#160;The Mathematics of Probability needs improvement. &#160;New work needs &lt;br /&gt; to be done. &#160;Computers need to use brute force and solve the unruly &lt;br /&gt; problems of probability. &#160;The A Priori must prevail! &lt;br /&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&#160; &#160; &#160;&quot;Tea, Earl Grey, hot.&quot; &lt;br /&gt;
  
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Probability theory certainly has its ups and downs! <br /> 
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;A Priori gaming seems a bit dull, because after all it is so simple <br /> and controlled. &nbsp;Black Jack, Roulette, and Video Poker all seem so <br /> straight forward. &nbsp;Yet try to win with mathematical theory.  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;The culprit is dispersion. &nbsp;Dispersion is enormous in such <br /> endeavours. &nbsp;At 47% (the approximate roulette odds) it is possible to <br /> take 15 straight losses. &nbsp;Perhaps more if Lady Luck really has a <br /> vendetta.  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;I keep thinking of the fact that all physical objects are <br /> describable in mathematics, that they are determined in a strict causal <br /> sequence, despite the complexity. &nbsp;(Perhaps atoms do sometimes swerve on <br /> their own!)  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Now the Casinos have all the games set for making a percentage <br /> profit. &nbsp;This is why you have 0 and 00 on the roulette wheel. &nbsp;Watch out <br /> for the Dealer shuffling everytime he starts losing at Black Jack. &nbsp;This <br /> keeps the odds even or in his favor (overall in his favor). &nbsp;And, Video <br /> Poker never quite pays out what it takes in.  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;What to do with this A Priori mess! &nbsp;Give up and lose those <br /> magnificent riches that appear spontaneously in your mind when you think <br /> of Winning. &nbsp;Of course not. &nbsp;Back to the grindstone.  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;The Mathematics of Probability needs improvement. &nbsp;New work needs <br /> to be done. &nbsp;Computers need to use brute force and solve the unruly <br /> problems of probability. &nbsp;The A Priori must prevail!  </p>
<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&quot;Tea, Earl Grey, hot.&quot; </p>
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